Novometric vs. Logit vs. Probit Analysis: Using Gender and Race to Predict if Adolescents Ever Had Sexual Intercourse

Paul R. Yarnold

Optimal Data Analysis, LLC

Prior research modeled if adolescents ever had sexual intercourse (the dependent variable: yes=1, no=0) using main-effect logit and probit analysis models treating gender (female=0, male=1) and race (“white” =1; “black”=2) as the independent variables. Both models identified statistically significant effects for gender and race, and both models misclassified all observations that had sexual intercourse: ESS=0. In exploratory novometric analysis conducted for these data a statistically significant, cross-generalizable race effect emerged that yielded moderate ESS=25.25, p<0.001.

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