Tremendous Honor: World Health Organization Cites ODA article on influence of mask mandates on COVID-19 infections

More than 87,000 scientific articles on COVID-19 were published between the start of the pandemic and October of 2020 (https://news.osu.edu/more-than-87000-scientific-papers-on-coronavirus-since-pandemic/). More than 720,000 unique authors have contributed to COVID-19 articles as of August, 2021 (https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.210389 ). Having an article which was published in the Optimal Data Analysis journal cited by the World Health Organization (WHO), … Continue reading Tremendous Honor: World Health Organization Cites ODA article on influence of mask mandates on COVID-19 infections

Overview of the Optimal Discriminant Analysis and Novometric Paradigm

Paul R. Yarnold, Ph.D., Nathaniel J. Rhodes, Pharm.D., Ariel Linden, Dr.P.H. Optimal Data Analysis, LLC; Chicago College of Pharmacy, Midwestern University; Linden Consulting Group, LLC Overviews of optimal discriminant analysis (ODA) and novometric theory are presented. Discussion addresses the role of accuracy in translational and precision forecasting research, and of parsimony in theoretical research; the … Continue reading Overview of the Optimal Discriminant Analysis and Novometric Paradigm

Using ODA to Estimate Propensity-Weight-Adjusted Treatment Effects for Multi-Valued Treatments

Paul R. Yarnold, Ph.D., Fred B. Bryant, Ph.D., Ariel Linden, Dr.P.H. Optimal Data Analysis, LLC, Loyola University Chicago, Linden Consulting Group, LLC We demonstrate the use of optimal data analysis to obtain a hierarchically optimal classification tree-based propensity score model for an application with three (treatment) groups, and to assess outcome differences between treatment groups … Continue reading Using ODA to Estimate Propensity-Weight-Adjusted Treatment Effects for Multi-Valued Treatments

Implementing ODA from Within Stata: Evaluating Test-Retest Reliability of Positive and Negative Emotional States, vs. Personality Traits, Assessed Using Likert Scales, for Males vs. Females

Paul R. Yarnold, Ph.D. and Ariel Linden, Dr.P.H. Optimal Data Analysis, LLC and Linden Consulting Group, LLC This paper illustrates testing directional hypotheses for test-retest Likert ratings of positive and negative emotional states and personality traits for males and females, using the Stata package for implementing ODA. View journal article

Implementing ODA from Within Stata: Confirmatory and Exploratory Inter-Rater Reliability Hypothesis with a Three-Category Ordinal Rating

Paul R. Yarnold, Ph.D. and Ariel Linden, Dr. P.H. Optimal Data Analysis, LLC & Linden Consulting Group, LLC This paper illustrates testing directional (confirmatory) and non-directional (exploratory) hypotheses for an inter-rater reliability study using a three-category ordinal measure, via the Stata package for implementing ODA. View journal article

Implementing ODA from Within Stata: Exploratory Hypothesis, Three-Category Class Variable, Continuous Attribute

Paul R. Yarnold, Ph.D. and Ariel Linden, Dr. P.H. Optimal Data Analysis, LLC & Linden Consulting Group, LLC This paper describes how to test a non-directional (exploratory) hypothesis for a design relating a three-category class (“dependent”) variable and a continuous attribute vis-à-vis the Stata package for implementing ODA. View journal article

Mask Mandates Can Rapidly and Efficiently Limit COVID-19 Spread: Month-Over-Month Effectiveness of Governmental Policies in Reducing the Number of New COVID-19 Cases in 37 US States and the District of Columbia

Michael J. Maloney, Nathaniel J. Rhodes & Paul R. Yarnold Proof School, Midwestern University & Optimal Data Analysis LLC SARS-CoV-2 is the beta-coronavirus responsible for COVID-19. Facemask use has been qualitatively associated with reduced COVID-19 cases, but no study has quantitatively assessed the impact of government mask mandates (MM) on new COVID-19 cases across multiple … Continue reading Mask Mandates Can Rapidly and Efficiently Limit COVID-19 Spread: Month-Over-Month Effectiveness of Governmental Policies in Reducing the Number of New COVID-19 Cases in 37 US States and the District of Columbia

Novometric Temporal Analysis of Monthly Otolaryngology Service Consults Over Five Consecutive Years

Paul R. Yarnold, Ph.D. Optimal Data Analysis, LLC Statistically unmotivated exploratory parametric analysis reported that the mean number of monthly consults at an academic otolaryngology service in 2014-2015 was significantly lower than in 2017-2018, suggesting a trend involving increasing numbers of consults over time. Evaluating these data, exploratory novometric temporal analysis identified a globally optimal … Continue reading Novometric Temporal Analysis of Monthly Otolaryngology Service Consults Over Five Consecutive Years

Comparing CTA to Boosted Regression for Estimating the Propensity Score (Invited)

Ariel Linden Linden Consulting Group, LLC Boosted regression (BR) has been recommended as a machine learning alternative to logistic regression for estimating the propensity score because of its greater accuracy. Commonly known as multiple additive regression trees, BR is a general, automated, data-adaptive modelling algorithm which can estimate the non-linear relationship between treatment assignment (the … Continue reading Comparing CTA to Boosted Regression for Estimating the Propensity Score (Invited)

Differing Cancer-Incidence Rates of Male vs. Female Americans

Paul R. Yarnold Optimal Data Analysis LLC Novometric classification tree analysis was used to evaluate Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program data to discover cancer sites moderately or relatively strongly predicted by male vs. female gender. Future research using any of the 13 cancer sites which met this criterion should account for gender using … Continue reading Differing Cancer-Incidence Rates of Male vs. Female Americans

Disparate Cancer-Incidence Rates of Caucasian vs. African Americans

Paul R. Yarnold Optimal Data Analysis LLC Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Program data were used to find cancer sites with at least moderately different rates for African vs. Caucasian Americans. Future research in ten cancer sites which involves subjects represented by these groups should account for associated cancer-incidence disparity in matching or via … Continue reading Disparate Cancer-Incidence Rates of Caucasian vs. African Americans