Maximizing Accuracy of Classification Trees by Optimal Pruning

Maximizing Accuracy of Classification Trees by Optimal Pruning

Paul R. Yarnold, Ph.D., and Robert C. Soltysik, M.S.

Optimal Data Analysis, LLC

We describe a pruning methodology which maximizes effect strength for sensitivity of classification tree models. After deconstructing the initial “Bonferroni-pruned” model into all possible nested sub-branches, the sub-branch which explicitly maximizes mean sensitivity is identified. This methodology is illustrated using models predicting in-hospital mortality of 1,193 (Study 1) and 1,660 (Study 2) patients with AIDS-related Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia.

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