Optimal Weighted Markov Analysis: Predicting Serial RG-Score

Paul R. Yarnold

Optimal Data Analysis, LLC

This study predicts change in magnitude of weekly RG-scores recorded over a year for a single individual. Attributes include weekly numbers of citations, recommendations, reads, and full-text downloads. Events in the transition table are weighted by the absolute product of ipsative standard scores for RG-score (treated as the class variable) and the attribute which is being assessed, thereby maximizing measurement precision, accuracy of prediction, and statistical power.

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